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Ukraine is a major wheat producer and exporter. In the 2021/2022 marketing year, Ukraine was the seventh-largest wheat producer globally, producing 33 million tons. However, the war in Ukraine has significantly impacted its wheat production and exports.
Here's a more detailed look at Ukraine's wheat production:
2021/2022:
Ukraine produced 33 million tons of wheat, placing it as the seventh-largest producer worldwide. Russia has pulled out of a deal to allow millions of tons of Ukrainian grain to be exported. Ukraine is one of the world's major grain producers, so what does this mean for the world? See more.
2023/2024:
Oct 12, 2023 | Ukraine: Overview of MY 2023/24 Wheat Harvest
USDA’s estimate of Ukraine wheat production for marketing year (MY 2023/24) is 22.5 million metric tons (mmt), up 5 percent from last year, but down 16 percent relative to the 5-year average. Yield is estimated at a record 4.50 tons per hectare, up 17 percent from last year and 13 percent from the 5-year average. Harvested area is estimated at 5.0 million hectares (mha), down 11 percent from last year and 26 percent from the 5-year average. See more.
The USDA estimated Ukraine's wheat production for this year at 22.5 million metric tons, an increase of 5% from the previous year but 16% below the 5-year average.
2024/2025:
Ukraine's wheat production for this marketing year is forecast at 21.6 million metric tons, which is down 6% from the previous year.
May 12, 2025 | Ukraine Sunflowerseed: MY 2025/26 Near Average Production Ukraine sunflower production for marketing year (MY) 2025/26 is forecast at 14.4 million metric tons, up 11 percent from last year and near the 5-year average. Yield is forecast at 2.40 tons per hectare, up 11 percent from last year and 7 percent from the 5-year average. Harvested area is forecast at 6.0 million hectares (mha), unchanged from last year, but down 7 percent from the 5-year average. (For more information, please contact Iliana.Mladenova@usda.gov.) See more.
Photo:Collected
Impact of the war:
The war in Ukraine has led to a decrease in both production and exports due to:
*Disrupted supply chains.
*Occupied territory and destroyed infrastructure.
*Restrictions on exports through the Black Sea.
Future outlook:
Some sources predict that Ukraine's wheat production may increase in the coming years as the war subsides and conditions improve, but the extent of the impact on production will depend on the duration and intensity of the conflict.
Most Ukraine-based trade sources estimate the country’s crop output for the 2025/26 marketing year to be up from the previous year, with a significant increase expected for corn, while barley and wheat crops are forecast to be largely unchanged from 2024/25, Fastmarkets heard. See more.
-SZK, based on online information
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